Another option for a manned launcher. In this report Boeing proposes heavy lift launchers using existing components:
Heavy Lift Launch Vehicles with Existing Propulsion Systems.
Benjamin Donahue, Lee Brady, Mike Farkas, Shelley LeRoy, Neal Graham
Boeing Phantom Works,Huntsville, AL 35824
Doug Blue
Boeing Space Exploration,Huntington Beach, CA 92605
http://www.launchcomplexmodels.com/Direct/documents/AIAA-2010-2370-650.pdf
One of the proposals is of a manned launcher with the Orion capsule using a shuttle ET propellant tank and four RS-68 engines. This does not use an upper stage but is not a single-stage-to-orbit vehicle because the final push to orbit is made by the onboard thrusters on the Orion spacecraft.
However, it is interesting in this report comparison is made to the S-IVB upper stage on the Apollo rocket. I was reminded of a suggestion of Gary Hudson that the S-IVB would be single-stage-to-orbit with significant payload if it used the high efficiency SSME rather than the J-2 engine:
A Single-Stage-to-Orbit Thought Experiment.
Gary C Hudson
http://www.spacefuture.com/archive/a_single_stage_to_orbit_thought_experiment.shtml
In Hudson's proposal the vehicle could lift 10,360 lbs, 4,710 kg. This would be just enough to carry the crewed version of the Dragon spacecraft without cargo.
It is notable that the upper stage of the Ares I is based on this S-IVB stage. Then this upper stage as well should be able to act as an SSTO with an SSME engine. This is important because the Ares I upper stage was originally planned to use the SSME, so this means much of the technical and financial analysis of using the SSME for the upper stage of the Ares I has already been done.
However, because of the cost of the SSME engine and technical risk in making it airstartable, the decision was made to use the J-2X engine instead. But for the SSTO purpose you don't have the problem of making it airstartable, and as I discussed the reusability maintenance costs can be reduced by an order of magnitude for the SSME.
This report contains some of the specifications on the Ares I upper stage:
NASA’s Ares I Upper Stage.
http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/231430main_UpperStage_FS_final.pdf The propellant mass is listed as 138 mT, the dry mass of the stage as 17.5 mT, and the interstage mass, as 4.1 mT. See the second attached image below taken from page 2 of the report. The interstage supports the weight of the upper stage on top of the lower stage so won't be needed for the SSTO version. So we can take the dry mass now as 13.4 mT.
We need to add onto this now the extra weight of using the SSME over the J-2X engine. The report lists the J-2X mass as 2.5 mT. The SSME mass is 3.1 mT, .6 mT heavier. This brings the dry weight to 14 mT.
A puzzlingly high value of 2.5 mT however is given for the avionics. You wouldn't think it would need to be this high if it consisted of just electronics and computer systems with modern miniaturization. Most of the avionics is included in the "instrument unit". As you can see from the first attached image below, the instrument unit is regarded as a separate element of the upper stage and is contained within the forward skirt of the stage. The forward skirt serves to support the weight of the Orion CEV, so needs to have significant strength and mass to support the 20,000+ kg weight of the Orion spacecraft. So I'm wondering if that 2.5 mT mass is including the mass of this forward skirt.
The forward skirt mass can certainly be reduced if using a Dragon spacecraft at only one quarter the mass of the Orion. So that part of the dry mass will be reduced, though it's uncertain if the avionics mass itself can be reduced. In any case using 14 mT dry mass of the Ares I upper stage, the 138 mT propellant mass, the 425 s trajectory averaged Isp of the SSME given by Hudson, and a 9,200 m/s required delta-V to orbit, we can calculate the payload to orbit can be 3 mT:
425*9.8ln(1 + 138/(14 + 3)) = 9,205 m/s.
This payload mass would not be enough for the Dragon spacecraft but might be enough for an innovative new spacecraft proposal from the University of Maryland:
Phoenix: A Low-Cost Commercial Approach to the Crew Exploration Vehicle.
http://www.nianet.org/rascal/forum2006/presentations/1010_umd_paper.pdf This uses a cylindrical shape for the capsule so would have more space for the crew/passengers. It also uses a new design for a thermal protection system called a "parashield" that would save weight over the traditional ablative design. The mass of the capsule in this study is given as 3,268 kg, so would only have to be reduced by a small proportion to fit within the payload mass constraints.
However, it might be possible to increase the payload capability of the SSME-powered Ares I upper stage to be able to carry even the Dragon spacecraft. First, more propellant can be carried in the same size tanks by densifying the propellant by subcooling:
Liquid Oxygen Propellant Densification Unit Ground Tested With a Large-Scale Flight-Weight Tank for the X-33 Reusable Launch Vehicle.
http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/RT/RT2001/5000/5870tomsik.html As much as 10% more propellant can be carried by subcooled densification. This corresponds to 10% greater mass that can lofted to orbit. So from a 17 mT total of launch vehicle + payload, up to 18.7 mT. This extra mass can go to extra payload so to 4.7 mT payload.
Secondly, recent research has shown that from 10% to 20% weight savings can be made off the structural weight on launch vehicles:
NASA Recalculates To Save Weight On Launchers.
Jan 5, 2011
By Frank Morring, Jr.
http://www.aviationweek.com/aw/generic/story.jsp?id=news/awst/2011/01/03/AW_01_03_2011_p53-277413.xml&headline=NASA%20Recalculates%20To%20Save%20Weight%20On%20Launchers&channel=spaceThe structural mass sans engine is 11 mT. If 10% weight can be saved off this then that can be transfered to extra payload, bringing the payload capacity to 5.8 mT. This would then be within the payload capacity to carry the Dragon spacecraft.
Bob Clark
Images:
Ares I elements.
http://oi56.tinypic.com/5voinb.jpg Ares I upper stage.
http://oi55.tinypic.com/1bxvr.jpg